In my last post I said we were nearing the end of the “background primary” phase of the election. That means we are eagerly awaiting official announcements to start coming in.
Harry Enten over at FiveThirtyEight has posted a great analysis of who is or is not running for the Republican and Democrat presidential nominations. For each candidate he has meticulously counted what percentage of primary polls they are included in, how many events they have planned in the early voting states, and what they have actually said about their intentions to run. Here is Mr. Enten’s graph for the Republican field.
A staggering 13 candidates look like they are going to run on the Republican side. With that many strong candidates in the ring, this election is shaping up to be a very exciting one. To put this in perspective, in 2008 there were only 6 serious contenders for the Republican nomination. The 2012 primary field was considered huge with 8 big name contenders.
Head over to the FiveThirtyEight post to see how things look on the Democrat side and read their full analysis.